!A man in the desert looks at the city after the effects of global warming.
(Image credit: Scharfsinn86/Getty Images)
India, already grappling with high summer temperatures and variable monsoon seasons, is particularly vulnerable to rising global temperatures discussed in Thomä’s analysis. Heatwaves have been increasingly frequent and severe in parts of India over recent years, posing risks not just for human populations but also agriculture and infrastructure heavily reliant on predictable climates.
The costs highlighted-adaptation vs prevention-serve as a crucial consideration for policymaking in India. Adapting agricultural practices (like shifting cropping patterns) requires expensive investments that many farmers cannot afford without state support. Additionally, urban areas experiencing temperature swings need sustainable cooling infrastructures that emphasize equity across socioeconomic groups.
On a systemic level,India’s existing inequities may worsen if large portions become “uninhabitable,” forcing internal migration akin to displacement seen during extreme rainfall or flooding events currently occurring within coastal regions. Prioritizing policies that address this inevitability seems critical-not only economically but socially-to avoid eroding societal welfare long-term.
While there is global data suggesting reduced cold-weather deaths balancing initial increases in heat mortality, India’s tropical geography means it stands closer to scenarios where intensified thermal discomfort far outweighs any limited benefits from milder winters.Read More