# India’s fuel demand growth forecast slashed 39% as PM urges conservation

2026-08-17T18:17:20+00:00 | Business & Economy | Indian Opinion Desk

Corroboration: 2 independent outlets (3 source reports)

India's transportation fuel demand growth forecast for 2026 has been revised down by 39% to about 78,000 barrels per day, down from an earlier estimate of 128,000 barrels per day, according to a report by Elif Binici, Lead Analyst at Kpler. The sharp revision comes as Prime Minister Narendra Modi urged citizens and government departments to conserve fuel, encourage remote working and reduce non-essential travel, with petrol and diesel prices hiked by about Rs 5 per litre each since May 15. The rupee has weakened about 6% since the start of the US-Iran conflict and 10% over the past year, with foreign exchange reserves falling about 4.3% since late February. BMI, a Fitch Solutions Company, expects the rupee to weaken to Rs 97 per US dollar by end of FY2026-27 and to Rs 99 by FY2027-28 from Rs 95.4 currently. On Monday, the rupee fell 0.2% to 95.6025 per dollar, its weakest in two weeks, amid sustained dollar buying by importers and after the Reserve Bank of India brought forward the end date for its discounted forex swap facility. Brent crude oil futures rose about 1% to $89.2 per barrel. The RBI is expected to raise rates by 25 basis points in February 2027, BMI said.

## Coverage

- millenniumpost.in <https://www.millenniumpost.in/business/fuel-austerity-clouds-demand-outlook-indias-annual-product-growth-forecast-cut-40-661341>
- thehindubusinessline.com <https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/markets/forex/indian-rupee-seen-weakening-to-97-per-dollar-by-fy2026-27-end-bmi/article71355734.ece>
- thehindubusinessline.com (2) <https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/markets/forex/rupee-hits-two-week-low-amid-rising-oil-prices-and-forex-swap-changes/article71355802.ece>

This story was synthesised by AI from the 3 sources linked above.
Updated: this story now draws on 3 sources. Last updated 2026-08-18T02:01:48+00:00.

Tags: crude oil, Elif Binici, Indian rupee, Kpler, Narendra Modi
Canonical: https://indianopinion.org/india-fuel-demand-growth-forecast-cut-39-on-conservation-high-prices/
License: Summary and commentary (c) Indian Opinion, reusable with attribution. Facts belong to the linked sources.
Cite: https://indianopinion.org/india-fuel-demand-growth-forecast-cut-39-on-conservation-high-prices/#story-in-brief

How this brief was made: an AI model read the reports linked above and wrote this summary and analysis, which were published automatically. Published briefs are sampled every hour by an automated quality check; the editor verifies its findings and approves corrections, and corrected briefs carry a dated correction line. Stance labels are editorial classifications of how each outlet framed this story, assigned by the same model, not ratings of the outlets. We do no original reporting. Methodology: https://indianopinion.org/ai-use-policy/
