Elon Musk has said that a new xAI Grok 3.5 will be released soonish which I interpret as being a May release. I am extrapolating the chatbot arena and other metrics assuming that the increase in training compute gives a similar scaled improvement from Grok 2 to Grok 3 (15X more training compute).
xAI has not fully optimized the training compared to the OpenAI, Deepseek and Google Deepmind models. OpenAI, Deepmind and Deepseek are getting more model performance using less training compute. However, xAI will be able to improve how well they are converting their training compute advantage to superior models.
This involves improving data quality and improving algorithms and other aspects of model development.
The xAI Grok 3.5 will be 5 times the compute of competing models from Meta and Google and Grok 4 will be 20 times the compute of Google and Meta models. xAI will have an even larger lead over OpenAI and Anthropic.
Brian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader and a popular Science blogger with 1 million readers per month. His blog Nextbigfuture.com is ranked #1 Science News Blog. It covers many disruptive technology and trends including Space, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, Medicine, Anti-aging Biotechnology, and Nanotechnology.
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