# Nub theory for baby sex prediction unreliable, studies show

2026-08-08T13:37:38+00:00 | World & Diplomacy | Indian Opinion Desk

Corroboration: 1 independent outlet

A viral trend called "nub theory" claims parents can predict a baby's sex from a 12-week ultrasound by measuring the angle of the genital tubercle. But research shows the method is highly unreliable early in pregnancy, one 2012 study found accuracy as low as 30% before 11 weeks, barely better than a coin flip. Accuracy improves to about 90% by 12-14 weeks, but still lags behind medical tests like cell-free DNA blood tests (NIPT) or the standard anatomy scan at 18-22 weeks, which are far more dependable for determining fetal sex.

## Coverage

- english.mathrubhumi.com <https://english.mathrubhumi.com/lifestyle/parenting/nub-theory-predict-babys-sex-parenting-trc7h6rj>

Tags: baby sex prediction, medical accuracy, NIPT, nub theory, pregnancy, ultrasound
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