# Pakistan most likely to use nuclear weapons first, says Canadian commentator

2026-08-13T08:56:02+00:00 | World & Diplomacy | Indian Opinion Desk

Corroboration: 2 independent outlets

Chinese-born Canadian educator and geopolitical commentator Professor Jiang Xueqin has said that if any country were to use nuclear weapons first, it would likely be Pakistan. In a podcast with YouTuber Raj Shamani, Jiang cited Pakistan's weak internal controls, corruption, and lack of a no-first-use policy as reasons. He described the country as a weak, disorganised and corrupt nuclear state whose command systems might fail in a crisis. Jiang noted that India maintains a declared no-first-use posture, even as its policy has been debated. According to SIPRI data, India has 190 nuclear warheads, 12 of which were deployed in 2025, while Pakistan has around 170 but none deployed. The assessment echoes longstanding Pakistani military rhetoric: in 2002, 2019, and during the May 2025 Operation Sindoor confrontation, Pakistani leaders have hinted at nuclear use if the country's survival is threatened.

## Coverage

- indiatoday.in <https://www.indiatoday.in/india/story/pakistan-nuclear-weapons-first-asim-munir-use-professor-jiang-raj-shamani-podcast-prediction-2970085-2026-08-13?utm_source=rss>
- odishatv.in <https://odishatv.in/videosodisha/society/professor-jiangs-explains-why-india-or-pakistan-may-use-nuclear-weapon-first-12258424>

Tags: India, Jiang Xueqin, No First Use, nuclear weapons, Pakistan, South Asia
Canonical: https://indianopinion.org/pakistan-most-likely-first-to-use-nukes-says-analyst/
License: Summary and commentary (c) Indian Opinion, reusable with attribution. Facts belong to the linked sources.
Cite: https://indianopinion.org/pakistan-most-likely-first-to-use-nukes-says-analyst/#story-in-brief

Review state: restored archive article, accurate at time of publication, not offered to search indexes.
