# RBI deputy governor says India growth may beat 6.7% forecast

2026-08-21T14:52:28+00:00 | Governance | Indian Opinion Desk

Corroboration: 1 independent outlet

RBI Deputy Governor Poonam Gupta said India's economic growth could exceed the central bank's 6.7% forecast and approach 7%, citing stronger-than-expected high-frequency indicators. In a speech on Thursday, Gupta said a 7.5% long-term growth rate "is a given" for India, adding "we should aspire to do better than that." Her comments add to optimistic assessments of India's outlook, with the country expected to remain the world's fastest-growing major economy. Minutes of the RBI's August policy meeting showed Gupta raised the possibility of a rate hike later this year. Market pricing now implies a 45-50% chance of a first rate increase in October, with a December hike fully priced in, according to ICICI Securities Primary Dealership economist Abhishek Upadhyay.

## Indian Opinion Analysis

Gupta's hawkish shift matters because it signals the RBI may act before inflation risks become entrenched. India's one-year OIS rate jumped 11 basis points since the minutes, the most since May, reflecting traders pricing in three to four rate increases. The real test will be the April-June GDP data due this month: economists predict 6.9% to 8%. If the print is above 7.5%, pressure for an October hike will intensify. A 25-basis-point hike would raise the repo rate to 6.75%, directly impacting home and auto loan EMIs for millions of borrowers.

## Coverage

- livemint.com <https://www.livemint.com/economy/india-economic-growth-may-beat-rbi-forecast-deputy-governor-says-7-pace-possible-as-indicators-improve-11787315737135.html>
  Straight news agency style reporting, no discernible slant, uses direct quotes and market data.

This story was synthesised by AI from the source linked above.

Tags: HSBC, ICICI Securities, India GDP, Narendra Modi, Poonam Gupta, RBI
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