# TNAU forecasts groundnut at Rs 65-70/kg, cotton at Rs 75-80/kg, black sesame at Rs 140-145/kg for harvest

2026-08-23T11:55:20+00:00 | Business & Economy | Indian Opinion Desk

Corroboration: 1 independent outlet (3 source reports)

Tamil Nadu Agricultural University's DEMIC unit has released pre-sowing price forecasts for three crops ahead of the harvest season. Groundnut prices are expected at Rs 65-70 per kg, cotton at Rs 75-80 per kg, and black sesame at Rs 140-145 per kg, based on analysis of regulated market data over 20-25 years. India is the world's second-largest groundnut producer with 119.42 lakh tonnes in 2024-25, the largest cotton producer by area, and the top sesame producer globally. TNAU has advised farmers to consider these projections for sowing decisions. All three forecasts carry caveats that prices may vary depending on the southwest monsoon's performance, arrival volumes from other states, and the potential impact of El Nino on weather patterns.

## Indian Opinion Analysis

All three stories from BusinessLine are straight commodity price forecasts, with no political or government slant. The coverage uniformly presents TNAU's methodology, national production data, state-level figures, and market caveats. The neutral framing is consistent: each forecast is attributed to DEMIC's analysis, the advisory to farmers is stated plainly, and the monsoon risk is noted without editorialising. Readers should watch the southwest monsoon's progress and arrival trends to see if the price bands hold.

## Coverage

Coverage: 3 sources, 3 neutral
- thehindubusinessline.com (neutral report) <https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/agri-business/tnau-forecasts-65-70kg-groundnut-prices-at-harvest/article71377425.ece>
  Straight report on TNAU groundnut price forecast with production data and caveats
- thehindubusinessline.com (2) (neutral report) <https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/agri-business/tnau-sees-75-80kg-cotton-price-during-harvest/article71377434.ece>
  Straight report on TNAU cotton price forecast with production data and caveats
- thehindubusinessline.com (3) (neutral report) <https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/agri-business/tnau-sees-black-sesame-prices-at-140-145kg-during-harvest/article71389163.ece>
  Straight report on TNAU black sesame price forecast with production data and caveats

This story was synthesised by AI from the 3 sources linked above.
Updated: this story now draws on 3 sources. Last updated 2026-08-25T16:21:27+00:00.

Tags: cotton, groundnut, Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, Tamil Nadu, TNAU
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How this brief was made: an AI model read the reports linked above and wrote this summary and analysis, which were published automatically. Published briefs are sampled every hour by an automated quality check; the editor verifies its findings and approves corrections, and corrected briefs carry a dated correction line. Stance labels are editorial classifications of how each outlet framed this story, assigned by the same model, not ratings of the outlets. We do no original reporting. Methodology: https://indianopinion.org/ai-use-policy/