# US intelligence warns Russia may attack NATO ally this autumn

2026-08-07T21:47:21+00:00 | World & Diplomacy | Indian Opinion Desk

Corroboration: 1 independent outlet

US intelligence assessments warn that Russian President Vladimir Putin could test NATO's resolve by attacking a member state as early as this autumn, with a possible timeframe extending to 2029. The assessment marks a shift in Washington's view, which previously believed Putin would avoid direct confrontation with NATO while tied down in Ukraine. The potential attack could range from cyber operations to a limited military incursion, including a ground invasion. The warning comes as US officials face concerns over depleted ammunition reserves after supplying large quantities of weapons to Ukraine. Moscow has previously been accused of testing NATO defences, including incidents involving Russian missiles and drones entering Poland and Romania. Analysts say Russia may seek to exploit divisions within the 77-year-old alliance and gauge whether the US would respond decisively.

## Coverage

- ndtv.com <https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/vladimir-putin-could-strike-nato-allies-to-test-blocs-resolve-say-us-intel-reports-11881527#publisher=newsstand>
- timesnownews.com <https://www.timesnownews.com/world/us/us-news/us-intelligence-warns-russia-could-test-nato-with-attack-as-early-as-this-fall-article-155383416>

Tags: European security, NATO, Putin, Russia, Ukraine war, US intelligence
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