# Vance says Iran talks will be messy and take time, predicts falling oil prices 2026-08-06T06:21:15+00:00 | India | Indian Opinion Desk US Vice-President JD Vance told Fox News that Iran's leadership is fractured, saying 'there are people within their system who want the war to be over, there are also people within their system who are crazy radicals who want the war to continue,' and that reaching a deal with Tehran would be 'messy' and take time, TheHinduBusinessLine reported. Vance predicted that oil prices, then around 79 dollars a barrel, would fall and stay down, said Iran would never obtain a nuclear weapon, and said Washington would draw on military, economic and diplomatic tools together, while cautioning against judging the outcome mid-negotiation. His comments followed a pause in hostilities and renewed contact after the collapse of a 14-point memorandum of understanding signed in June aimed at reopening the Strait of Hormuz. President Donald Trump said separately that Iranian officials had asked for talks and that a lot of progress had been made, adding that the situation would be clearer within 48 hours. ## Indian Opinion Analysis Vance's specific predictions, on oil prices and on Iran never acquiring a nuclear weapon, are stated as confident outcomes even while he describes the negotiation itself as unresolved and likely to take time, a tension the report does not reconcile. His description of Iran's leadership as split between factions wanting an end to the conflict and hardliners wanting it to continue is his own characterisation of Tehran's internal split. Trump's separate claim of a 48-hour window is the more immediate marker here. Whether that 48-hour period produces the clearer picture Trump promised, and any resumed formal contact with Tehran over the Strait of Hormuz, is what to check next. ## Coverage - TheHinduBusinessLine Tags: Iran, JD Vance Canonical: https://indianopinion.org/us-vp-vance-says-negotiations-with-iran-going-to-be-messy-take-some-time/ License: Summary and commentary (c) Indian Opinion, reusable with attribution. Facts belong to the linked sources. Cite: https://indianopinion.org/us-vp-vance-says-negotiations-with-iran-going-to-be-messy-take-some-time/#story-in-brief Review state: restored archive article, accurate at time of publication, not offered to search indexes.