World Could Cross 2°C Warming Threshold by 2029, Scientists Warn

Swift Summary

• Scientists warn the world could experience its first single year above 2°C of warming by 2029,a stark milestone in combating climate change.
• The Met Office predicts that there’s a slim but increasing possibility of this event, estimating the current probability at 1%.
• Greenhouse gas emissions have already driven long-term average global temperatures to 1.44°C above pre-industrial levels.
• Factors like El Niño weather patterns and Arctic Oscillations could amplify warming temporarily, accelerating this trend.
• Last year was the first recorded to surpass the 1.5°C threshold due to rising emissions and natural climate variability such as El Niño; there’s now an 86% chance that global temperatures will breach similar levels at least once before 2029.
• A report highlighted a growing likelihood (70% for the period of 2025-2029) of seeing consistent years averaging beyond a warming threshold of 1.5°C within this decade.
• Experts emphasize that urgent emission cuts are imperative to avoid exceeding critical limits-every fraction of temperature increase heightens risks.

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