Yellow Alert Issued for Three Districts on August 16

Rapid Summary

• Moderate to heavy rainfall has been affecting parts of Kerala due to a low-pressure area over the Bay of Bengal.
• The India Meteorological Department (IMD) predicts rain will continue for a couple more days, wiht weakening expected as the low-pressure system diminishes.
• A yellow alert has been issued for Kozhikode, Kannur, and kasaragod on August 16, 2025, warning of isolated heavy rains.
• Rainfall is expected to become subdued across most parts of Kerala next week but may pick up momentum by late august due to another possible cyclonic circulation forming near gangetic West Bengal and Odisha coasts.
• The southwest monsoon in August is projected to perform below normal standards with an increasing rainfall deficit later this month.

Indian opinion Analysis
This recent shift in rainfall patterns highlights the dynamic nature of monsoons influenced by evolving low-pressure systems over the Bay of Bengal. While temporary relief through significant rains may arrive in northern districts like Kozhikode and Kannur under alert conditions until mid-August, overall below-average monsoon activity in August raises concerns tied to water resources and agricultural stability for regions relying on consistent rains during this critical period. Policymakers and local authorities must remain vigilant both for immediate effects like flooding risks in affected areas experiencing short-term heavy spells and potential longer-term drought-like situations if deficits persist or intensify into September.

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