
The UN Environment Programme's Emissions Gap Report, released ahead of the annual climate conference, has concluded that the 1.5 degree Celsius temperature target set in the 2015 Paris Agreement is now 'unavoidably' out of reach. The report states that the best the world can now hope for is to restrict the global rise to 1.8 degree Celsius and try to pull it back after that.

The assessment mirrors findings from a September 2026 UNEP report, which said even in best-case scenarios global temperatures would rise at least 1.8 degree Celsius. The new report covers greenhouse gases including carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide, not just carbon dioxide alone.
The key question now is whether country actions will be sufficient to force warming back to 1.5 degree Celsius after rising to 1.8 degree Celsius later this century.
The UNEP's latest Emissions Gap Report shifts the global climate conversation from prevention to damage control. By declaring the 1.5°C target 'unavoidably' breached, it pressures governments at the upcoming climate conference to negotiate around overshoot and return pathways rather than holding the line. The report leaves unresolved whether the collective action countries pledge will be enough to reverse the rise from 1.8°C back down to 1.5°C in the second half of the century.
That question will be tested at the annual year-ending climate conference, where the report is traditionally presented.
Source: indianexpress.com
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