Large private banks seen as re-rating candidates despite Q1 margin pressure

Brokerage ICICI Securities says HDFC Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank and Axis Bank are re-rating candidates for FY27 despite weak Q1 margin performance. The sector's NII growth reached a multi-quarter high of 11…

Brokerage ICICI Securities says HDFC Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank and Axis Bank are re-rating candidates for FY27 despite weak Q1 margin performance. The sector's NII growth reached a multi-quarter high of 11 per cent YoY, while core PPOP and PAT growth improved to 15-17 per cent YoY, according to the brokerage. However, the three large private banks reported only about 1 per cent QoQ NII growth and 7-9 per cent YoY growth as net interest margins declined.

Large private banks seen as re-rating candidates despite Q1 margin pressure

Separately, JM Financial flagged risks for HDFC Bank after analysing its FY26 disclosures. The brokerage cited a declining retail deposit share, higher reliance on wholesale funding, a moderation in LCR to 114 per cent, and a sharp rise in contingent liabilities. Agriculture emerged as a key stress pocket with rising delinquencies. ICICI Bank has overtaken HDFC Bank in dollar bond fundraising under the RBI's discounted window, raising $3.05 billion against HDFC Bank's $2.50 billion.

Indian Opinion Analysis

ET BFSI's analysis frames large private banks as re-rating candidates, emphasising sector-wide NII growth and FCNR(B) inflows as positive catalysts. BusinessLine's report, by contrast, focuses on HDFC Bank's specific pressures: falling share price, rising contingent liabilities, and deteriorating retail deposit share. The two pieces serve different audiences: ET BFSI addresses institutional investors with a bullish sector view, while BusinessLine gives retail investors a granular risk checklist. ET BFSI omits the stock-level stress BusinessLine details. BusinessLine does not engage with the sector re-rating thesis. The divergence suggests that the sector outlook and individual bank health may be decoupling.

Coverage: 2 sources, 2 neutral


Sources (2): bfsi.economictimes.indiatimes.com (neutral report), thehindubusinessline.com (neutral report)

This brief was synthesised by AI from the 2 sources linked above, so one read covers every framing they carry.

Updated: this story now draws on 2 sources.

Ask their opinion on this story
They have read this article, our coverage, and the web.
AI simulations of historical figures. Responses are generated from the historical record, not authentic statements.

0 Votes: 0 Upvotes, 0 Downvotes (0 Points)

Share your opinion

Loading Next Post...
Search Trending
Ask their opinion
Loading

Signing-in 3 seconds...

Signing-up 3 seconds...

All fields are required.