
Venture capitalists are increasingly using UPI autoPay data to distinguish genuinely active users from 'dead users' who continue paying for subscriptions they no longer use. NPCI data shows top 10 banks processed…
Venture capitalists are increasingly using UPI autoPay data to distinguish genuinely active users from 'dead users' who continue paying for subscriptions they no longer use. NPCI data shows top 10 banks processed 1.8 billion UPI e-mandate transactions in July, more than triple the 585 million handled in July last year, pushing investors to look beyond raw payment figures.

Ashish Kumar of Fundamentum said the shift is a healthy sign as autopay becomes mainstream. Kushal Bhagia of All In Capital warned of a gap between user retention and payment retention, citing examples where users forget to cancel streaming or fitness app subscriptions. One investor reportedly backed out of a deal with a content company after finding most users were inactive on the app.
With consumer tech companies now processing at least Rs 2,500 crore in cumulative revenue through UPI autoPay, investors are scrutinizing retention metrics more closely. Manavdeep Singh Grover of Superliving noted that subscription companies have not reached IPO stage yet, and many could get exposed later if their revenue relies on inactive users who eventually churn.
The dead user problem is a variation of the zombie customer that has long haunted subscription models worldwide. Under the RBI's 2019 framework for recurring payments, merchants must send a pre-debit notification at least 24 hours before each charge, but the onus to cancel still lies with the user. For startups building for an IPO, the Securities and Exchange Board of India's 2022 listing obligations require disclosure of revenue concentration and customer metrics, which would expose churn risk. The real test will come when the first cohort of subscription-first consumer tech companies files draft red herring prospectuses, likely in the next 12 to 18 months, forcing founders to prove active usage beyond payment data.
Source: livemint.com
This brief was synthesised by AI from the source linked above.