Now Reading: Assam floods to become more frequent and intense: climate analysis
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Assam floods to become more frequent and intense: climate analysis
An analysis by climate think tank Climate Trends warns that Assam will face more frequent and intense floods as global warming reshapes the monsoon. The study, drawing on a systematic review of…
The Story in Brief
An analysis by climate think tank Climate Trends warns that Assam will face more frequent and intense floods as global warming reshapes the monsoon. The study, drawing on a systematic review of the Brahmaputra basin, finds the wet season is shortening while extreme rainfall events rise. Daily precipitation exceeding 100 mm is expected to become more common in lower sub-basins.
Under a high-emissions scenario, a flood that now occurs once every 10 years could happen every two years by 2080. Human factors such as deforestation and urbanisation are worsening runoff. Dr Akshay Deoras of the University of Reading said sharp interseasonal rainfall variation is a direct impact of global warming. Assam's State Action Plan on Climate Change projects a 5, 38 per cent rise in extreme rainfall events.
The Indian Opinion
The narrative that Assam’s floods are a natural seasonal event no longer holds. This analysis shows global warming is shrinking the wet season while concentrating rainfall into shorter, fiercer bursts. Claims that better forecasting alone will solve the crisis ignore the harder reality: river dynamics, glacial melt, and unplanned development are compounding risks. Watch how monsoon 2025 performs, if July remains dry and August brings a deluge, it will confirm the pattern projected here, forcing a debate on land-use policy versus reactive relief.
Sources (2): assamtribune.com, assamtribune.com (2)
This story was synthesised by AI from the 2 sources linked above.
