China cuts crude imports to ease Asia’s Iran war supply shock

How China is balancing Asia’s crude oil demand

China is absorbing the shock of reduced Middle East oil shipments by sharply cutting crude imports, helping offset weaker Asian supplies as the Iran war disrupts flows through the Strait of Hormuz.…

The Story in Brief

China is absorbing the shock of reduced Middle East oil shipments by sharply cutting crude imports, helping offset weaker Asian supplies as the Iran war disrupts flows through the Strait of Hormuz. The world's biggest oil importer reported arrivals of 8.41 million barrels per day (bpd) in July, up from June's near-decade low of 7.12 million but still 24.3% below July last year. Combined June-July imports average 7.78 million bpd, about 4.21 million below the pre-war average.

Asia's total imports in July were 22.82 million bpd, roughly 4 million below the pre-conflict average, according to Kpler. Saudi Arabia and the UAE have boosted shipments from outside the strait, but flows are still down about 5 million bpd. Analysts say China's vast stockpile, estimated at least 1.2 billion barrels, lets it sustain lower imports. August imports are expected to rise slightly, but brokerage Kpler estimates them at 5.97 million bpd, with September more revealing.

The Indian Opinion

The narrative that China is singlehandedly saving Asia hides a more awkward truth: Beijing's stockpile strategy is just as much about shielding itself from price spikes as about balancing the region. The real test is whether August figures actually pick up after a ceasefire, and whether September can hold without a deal. If imports stay below 8 million bpd, expect long-term supply deals to be renegotiated in Asia, and watch for India, the next biggest importer, to follow suit with its own inventory-led capacity.


Source: economictimes.indiatimes.com

This story was synthesised by AI from the source linked above.

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