Goldman Sachs flags lower FCF yields for India, US markets

A Goldman Sachs report says rising valuations are making US and Indian equity markets less attractive due to lower free cash flow (FCF) yields. The S&P 500 and the Nifty 50 both…

A Goldman Sachs report says rising valuations are making US and Indian equity markets less attractive due to lower free cash flow (FCF) yields. The S&P 500 and the Nifty 50 both offer an FCF yield of 2.7 percent, compared to 5 percent for Europe's Stoxx 600. The report notes that a surge in capex by leading US tech companies, especially for AI, has eroded their premium cash flows, forcing them to seek external funding.

Goldman Sachs flags lower FCF yields for India, US markets

Separately, India's top-listed residential real estate developers saw a moderation in pre-sales in the first quarter of FY27, due to delayed project approvals, limited launches, and high year-ago bases. Godrej Properties led with bookings of Rs 8,651 crore, up 22 percent year-on-year, while DLF reported a 94 percent drop to Rs 657 crore due to the absence of new launches. Analysts said the moderation does not point to a structural weakening, as customer response for new projects remained healthy.

Indian Opinion Analysis

The FCF yield gap between US/India and Europe has been widening as tech giants pour cash into AI infrastructure. This is a shift from the post-2008 period when these firms were capital-light and generated high free cash flows. For Indian investors, the real story is that Nifty 50 companies now yield the same FCF as the S&P 500 but without the AI growth narrative. In real estate, the key metric to watch is Q2 FY27 pre-sales: if approvals ease, launches should pick up and confirm whether demand is truly intact. The next quarterly results in October will settle that question.


Source: rediff.com

This story was synthesised by AI from the source linked above.

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