
Voters in Assam and Kerala go to the polls on Thursday, kicking off a round of state elections that analysts say will test whether the BJP can extend its dominance. The elections, which also cover West Bengal and Tamil Nadu later this month, have taken on an unusual international dimension due to the US and Israel's war against Iran.

Concerns over higher energy costs, tighter cooking gas supplies and the fate of millions of Indian migrant workers in the Gulf have entered campaign discourse. The federal government has partly shielded consumers by reducing excise duty on petrol and diesel, though some commercial establishments have reported tighter cooking gas supplies.
The results will signal whether Prime Minister Narendra Modi's BJP can break into opposition strongholds. Analysts note that young voters, in particular, are paying attention to global issues that affect daily living.
State elections in India are usually fought on local bread-and-butter issues, but this round shows how deeply external shocks now penetrate domestic politics. Nearly 9 million Indians work in Gulf countries, and their remittances are a vital economic lifeline, particularly for Kerala. The Modi government's fuel tax cuts, while popular, have already cost the exchequer over Rs 1 lakh crore in forgone revenue. Voters will watch not just who wins, but whether the Centre can sustain these subsidies if oil prices keep rising. The first results are expected in early May.
Source: scmp.com
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