
Iran says it is close to a deal with Oman to manage the Strait of Hormuz, conditional on the US lifting its blockade. Tehran believes that US weapons shortages, war fatigue, and…
Iran says it is close to a deal with Oman to manage the Strait of Hormuz, conditional on the US lifting its blockade. Tehran believes that US weapons shortages, war fatigue, and high energy prices ahead of November’s congressional elections will force President Trump to accept Iranian control over the waterway. The strategy carries risks: US strikes have decimated Iran’s top leadership and navy, while Iran’s economy is battered by triple-digit inflation and mass protests. Analysts say formal control of the strait would be a major Iranian victory and a blow to global navigation norms.


Both Tehran and Washington are peddling narratives of inevitable victory. Iran’s bet on US war fatigue and high fuel prices is real, but so is its own triple-digit food inflation and a crackdown that killed thousands. Trump’s talk of decimating Iran’s military glosses over his failure to reopen the strait. The real test is not military but political: which side’s domestic pressure will crack first before November’s US elections?
Sources (3): ndtv.com, nationalheraldindia.com, thefederal.com
This story was synthesised by AI from the 3 sources linked above.
Updated: this story now draws on 3 sources.