
US intelligence assessments warn that Russian President Vladimir Putin could test NATO's resolve by attacking a member state as early as this autumn, with a possible timeframe extending to 2029. The assessment…
US intelligence assessments warn that Russian President Vladimir Putin could test NATO's resolve by attacking a member state as early as this autumn, with a possible timeframe extending to 2029. The assessment marks a shift in Washington's view, which previously believed Putin would avoid direct confrontation with NATO while tied down in Ukraine. The potential attack could range from cyber operations to a limited military incursion, including a ground invasion.

The warning comes as US officials face concerns over depleted ammunition reserves after supplying large quantities of weapons to Ukraine. Moscow has previously been accused of testing NATO defences, including incidents involving Russian missiles and drones entering Poland and Romania. Analysts say Russia may seek to exploit divisions within the 77-year-old alliance and gauge whether the US would respond decisively.
The narrative of an imminent Russian attack on NATO is not new, but this time the US itself flags depleted stockpiles as a weakness. While Russia's war in Ukraine drains its conventional forces, the warning may be as much about pressuring allies to increase defence spending. The real test: will Washington treat a cyberattack on a NATO member as an Article 5 event?
Sources (2): ndtv.com, timesnownews.com
This story was synthesised by AI from the 2 sources linked above.
Updated: this story now draws on 2 sources.