Putin could test NATO with limited attack, US intel warns

The Story in Brief

US intelligence assessments warn that Russian President Vladimir Putin may launch a limited attack on a NATO member in the coming years to test the alliance's resolve. The operation, ranging from a cyberattack to a military incursion, would aim to expose divisions without triggering Article 5, according to three sources cited by CNN. CBS adds that US officials see a change in Putin's risk calculus, making him more willing to probe NATO's response. The Baltic states or Poland are potential targets, the sources said, but timing remains uncertain. NATO says it is watching and ready to deter any aggression.

The warning follows incidents involving Russian drones entering NATO airspace and suspected sabotage. Last month, the Dutch defence ministry said Russia could be capable of a limited war against a NATO member within a year of the Ukraine conflict ending. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte had earlier warned that Russia could be ready to use force against the alliance within five years.