
US intelligence assessments cited by CNN warn that Vladimir Putin could launch a limited attack on a Nato member in the next several years to test the alliance’s unity and commitment to…
US intelligence assessments cited by CNN warn that Vladimir Putin could launch a limited attack on a Nato member in the next several years to test the alliance’s unity and commitment to collective defence under Article 5. The strikes could range from a cyberattack to a small military incursion, possibly targeting the Baltic states or Poland, according to three people familiar with the intelligence.
The assessments say Putin may become more willing to challenge Nato if he cannot secure a face-saving exit from the war in Ukraine. The Dutch defence ministry separately warned last month that Russia could be capable of a limited war against a Nato member within a year of the Ukraine conflict ending. Nato countries have already faced Russian drone intrusions, including a drone that struck a Romanian apartment building in May.
The story does not need a narrative of ‘Nato as helpless victim’. Russia is a diminished power whose army is tied down in Ukraine, while Nato’s combined defence spending dwarfs Moscow’s. The real test is whether Europe will pay for credible deterrence – more troops, air defences, and faster decision-making – or keep hoping Putin will blink first. Watch Germany’s next defence budget vote: that number will reveal whether Nato is serious or just talking.
Source: timesofindia.indiatimes.com
This story was synthesised by AI from the source linked above.