Now Reading: India GDP grew 7.7 percent but INDA ETF fell 9 percent
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India GDP grew 7.7 percent but INDA ETF fell 9 percent
India's economy expanded 7.7 percent in the latest fiscal quarter, one of the fastest growth rates among major economies. But the iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA), a popular US-traded fund tracking Indian…
India's economy expanded 7.7 percent in the latest fiscal quarter, one of the fastest growth rates among major economies. But the iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA), a popular US-traded fund tracking Indian equities, has dropped 9 percent over the same period, puzzling investors who expected the GDP boom to lift stocks.
The gap stems from what drives Indian GDP and what drives stock prices. Government spending and services exports fuel the headline number, while corporate earnings face headwinds from inflation and weak rural demand. Global funds have rotated out of emerging markets including India this quarter, adding selling pressure.
The INDA ETF's performance reflects that foreign portfolio outflow more directly than the GDP release. Investors watch whether earnings catch up with output in coming quarters, or whether the divergence persists.
Indian Opinion Analysis
The disconnect between 7.7% GDP growth and a falling Indian equity ETF is a recurring puzzle for foreign investors. India's headline growth is driven by government capital expenditure and services exports, neither of which directly lifts corporate earnings for companies listed in ETFs like INDA. The Nifty 50's earnings per share growth has lagged nominal GDP for three quarters, squeezed by input cost inflation and weak rural demand. Global funds also rotate out of India when US dollar strength or China stimulus shifts risk appetite, and the ETF price reflects that selling pressure faster than the quarterly GDP print. The INDA ETF's one-month return is the concrete number to watch against the next GDP estimate and the RBI's rate decision on 8 August.
Source: ebc.com
This brief was synthesised by AI from the source linked above.
