
J.P. Morgan raised its year-end target for the S&P 500 to 8,000 from 7,800 on Monday, citing stronger corporate earnings and growing confidence that AI investments by large hyperscalers will accelerate revenue…
J.P. Morgan raised its year-end target for the S&P 500 to 8,000 from 7,800 on Monday, citing stronger corporate earnings and growing confidence that AI investments by large hyperscalers will accelerate revenue growth. The new target implies about 3.1% upside from the index's last close of 7,757.64. The brokerage also raised its 2026 earnings-per-share forecast to $365 from $350 and its 2027 forecast to $420 from $390.
Of the 436 S&P 500 companies that reported June-quarter results through Friday, 85.1% beat analyst expectations, well above the long-term average of 68%. However, J.P. Morgan maintained its forward valuation multiple at about 20 times, citing higher interest rates, geopolitical risks and a large supply of equity and debt issuance. The S&P 500 has gained 13.3% this year, buoyed by AI optimism.
The hype around AI-driven earnings is understandable, but the bull case rests on a narrow base: a handful of tech giants. J.P. Morgan itself flags high interest rates, geopolitical risks and heavy equity supply as reasons to keep its valuation multiple unchanged at 20 times. The real test will be whether corporate earnings breadth improves beyond the big hyperscalers, or whether the Strait of Hormuz uncertainty and oil prices start to bite.
Source: thehindubusinessline.com
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