Indian shares set for muted open as crude, geopolitics weigh

Five Key Factors That May Drive Sensex, Nifty 50 On August 13

Indian equity benchmarks are expected to open flat to lower on Thursday, as elevated crude oil prices and US-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz offset positive global cues. Gift Nifty traded…

The Story in Brief

Indian equity benchmarks are expected to open flat to lower on Thursday, as elevated crude oil prices and US-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz offset positive global cues. Gift Nifty traded around 24,437, a discount of 33.5 points from Nifty futures’ previous close, signalling a weak start. On Wednesday, the Sensex fell 187.90 points to 77,966.35 and Nifty declined 35.75 points to 24,435.95.

Indian shares set for muted open as crude, geopolitics weigh

Asian markets rallied after softer-than-expected US inflation data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve would hold rates in September. Japan’s Nikkei gained 1.5% and South Korea’s Kospi jumped over 3%. However, Brent crude remained near $88-89 a barrel. The Hindu Business Line reports that India’s retail inflation rose to 4.45% in July, driven by food prices, but Elara Securities expects the RBI to hold rates through CY26.

Indian shares set for muted open as crude, geopolitics weigh

The Indian Opinion

The talk of a 'muted start' every day has become a reflex, not analysis. Headlines cite crude and geopolitics as the overhang, yet Brent has eased and Asian markets are rallying. The real tug-of-war is between foreign selling, FIIs sold Rs 1,002.5 crore on Wednesday, and domestic institutional buying of Rs 5,841.7 crore. The question is not whether crude will stay elevated but whether DII appetite can absorb another month of FII exits. Watch the next FII flow data for the answer.


Sources (12): ndtvprofit.com, ndtvprofit.com (2), ndtvprofit.com (3), thehindubusinessline.com, thehindubusinessline.com (2), thehindubusinessline.com (3), livemint.com, livemint.com (2), livemint.com (3), livemint.com (4), livemint.com (5), livemint.com (6)

This story was synthesised by AI from the 12 sources linked above.

Updated: this story now draws on 12 sources.

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