
The Regional Meteorological Centre (RMC) has forecast heavy rainfall over south Tamil Nadu from November 5 to November 8, driven by strengthening easterlies and a cyclonic circulation. Cyclone Murasu has weakened into a well-marked low pressure area, allowing the Northeast monsoon to become active again.

Heavy rain is expected to hit Theni, Dindigul and Madurai districts on November 5, then spread to Thoothukudi and Sivaganga on November 6, and cover Thanjavur, Ramanathapuram and Tiruvarur by November 8. North coastal districts will also see wet weather until November 8 due to moist easterly winds. V.R. Durai, Head of the Regional Weather Forecasting Centre, said Tamil Nadu is likely to have a wet Deepavali in 2026.
The state's seasonal rainfall since October 1 stands at 11% surplus above the normal of 20.2 cm, and officials expect the surplus to increase. Maximum temperatures will stay near normal across most parts of the state until Sunday, 8 November. Light rain is forecast for a few other places, and rainfall activity may intensify again after November 8.
The forecast of a wet Deepavali means holiday travel and festivities in southern and delta districts will face disruption from heavy rain through the weekend. The RMC's naming of specific districts on specific dates allows residents and local authorities to prepare, but the outlook after November 8 remains open: easterly waves could bring more rain to coastal areas. The existing 11% seasonal surplus will almost certainly rise, which may benefit reservoirs and standing crops but also raises the risk of localised flooding.
Source: thehindu.com
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