
India's wholesale inflation eased marginally to 9.78% in July from 9.87% in June, the first monthly decline under the new 2022-23 base year, the commerce ministry said on Friday. Fuel and power…
India's wholesale inflation eased marginally to 9.78% in July from 9.87% in June, the first monthly decline under the new 2022-23 base year, the commerce ministry said on Friday. Fuel and power inflation dropped sharply to 20.05% from 27.41%, but manufactured products inflation rose to 8.29% from 7.48%, and food index inflation climbed to 6.65%. Separately, US producer price index (PPI) slowed to 4.7% year-on-year in July from 5.5% in June, and was flat month-on-month, the labour department reported. Core PPI eased to 4.2% from 4.7%.

Economists from ICRA and PL Capital warned that elevated manufactured and core WPI readings signal persistent cost pressures for Indian producers, which could eventually feed into retail prices. In the US, lower fuel costs in early July helped cool PPI, but a renewed rise in fuel prices later in the month may push inflation up again. The data comes ahead of the Federal Reserve's September meeting, where officials are weighing whether inflation is easing enough to avoid further rate increases.

The slight dip in India's WPI to 9.78% might be celebrated, but manufactured inflation rose to 8.29% and core WPI hit a series high of 8.2%. That is not an easing, it is cost pressure shifting from fuel to factory gates. Meanwhile, US wholesale prices fell on paper, but renewed fuel cost gains threaten to reverse the trend. The real test will be whether the RBI, watching sticky core inflation, dares to cut rates later this year despite an average WPI forecast of 8.5% for FY27.
Sources (3): timesofindia.indiatimes.com, government.economictimes.indiatimes.com, thehindubusinessline.com
This story was synthesised by AI from the 3 sources linked above.
Updated: this story now draws on 3 sources.