August rain deficit returns monsoon to July 31 level

Weather Bee: Dry second week of August erased monsoon gains from the first week

A dry second week of August has erased the monsoon gains from the first week, pushing India’s cumulative rainfall deficit back to 10.5 per cent, the same level as on July 31,…

The Story in Brief

A dry second week of August has erased the monsoon gains from the first week, pushing India’s cumulative rainfall deficit back to 10.5 per cent, the same level as on July 31, reports Hindustan Times. While the first week brought the deficit to a season-low 9 per cent, rain in the second week lagged by 10.5 per cent against the Long Period Average. However, the area under deficient rainfall has barely changed, rising only from 45.3 per cent on August 7 to 45.4 per cent by August 14, the report says.

August rain deficit returns monsoon to July 31 level

India Today reports that the seasonal deficit is around 12 per cent and is likely to remain between 12-18 per cent by September, with a weak outlook for the final month of monsoon. Delhi-NCR is expected to see cloudy skies and intermittent light rain on Independence Day, with an active monsoon system continuing over central, eastern and northern India through the rest of August.

August rain deficit returns monsoon to July 31 level

The Indian Opinion

Overreacting to a wet first week or a dry second week is exactly the cycle the weather media loves. Both Hindustan Times and India Today report a 10-12 per cent deficit, so the real story is not a crisis but a normal seasonal wobble. The IMD forecast of normal rain remains alive unless September fails. The only number that matters now is the September 30 final print. Can a weak September still dent the prediction?


Sources (2): hindustantimes.com, indiatoday.in

This story was synthesised by AI from the 2 sources linked above.

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