Kaynes Tech Q1 profit falls, brokerages cut targets, working capital worries

Kaynes Technologies Q1 Review: Brokerages Flag Working Capital, Cut Earnings Estimates

Kaynes Technology's June quarter profit fell 24% year-on-year, missing estimates by 7% due to lower other income and higher taxes. Net working capital surged from Rs 2,000 crore to Rs 2,400 crore…

The Story in Brief

Kaynes Technology's June quarter profit fell 24% year-on-year, missing estimates by 7% due to lower other income and higher taxes. Net working capital surged from Rs 2,000 crore to Rs 2,400 crore quarter-on-quarter,or 163 days from 125 days, while net debt jumped from Rs 200 crore to Rs 800 crore. Nuvama cut its FY27 and FY28 earnings estimates, rating the stock 'Reduce' with a fresh target of Rs 3,450. MOFSL retained a 'Buy' rating and the Street-high target of Rs 5,000, citing a robust order book of Rs 8,900 crore and scaling in EMS and new businesses.

Global brokerages were split: Jefferies gave 'Buy' at Rs 4,480, Nomura and JPMorgan said 'Neutral' at Rs 4,094 and Rs 3,600, and CLSA said 'Hold' at Rs 3,580. Among domestic firms, IIFL and Axis Capital said 'Add' at Rs 4,449 and Rs 4,136, while JM Financial and Equirus issued 'Reduce' at Rs 3,850 and Rs 3,500. Kaynes reiterated its FY27 revenue guidance of growing twice the industry rate and said OSAT and PCB commercialisation will start from the third quarter.

The Indian Opinion

The bull case for Kaynes rests on a Rs 8,900 crore order book and forays into OSAT and PCB. The bear case cites profit down 24%, net working capital ballooning from 125 to 163 days, and net debt quadrupling to Rs 800 crore in one quarter. Both sides cannot be equally right. Watch the Q3 results: if OSAT and PCB do not start contributing to cash flow as promised, the moat around the stock's high valuation will disappear.


Sources (2): ndtvprofit.com, businesstoday.in

This story was synthesised by AI from the 2 sources linked above.

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