
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) said a low-pressure area is likely to form over the northwest Bay of Bengal around August 12, triggering heavy to very heavy rainfall in Odisha from August…
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) said a low-pressure area is likely to form over the northwest Bay of Bengal around August 12, triggering heavy to very heavy rainfall in Odisha from August 12 to 14. The system will also sustain widespread monsoon activity across eastern and northern India. The IMD has warned of flash floods in parts of Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Himachal Pradesh, and Uttarakhand. For August-September, India is likely to receive below-normal rainfall, at less than 94% of the long-period average, despite July recording 1% above-normal rain.


The monsoon narrative often swings between 'active' and 'deficient' based on a single system. The formation of a low-pressure area is routine for August, not a sign of monsoon strength. The more telling forecast is the below-normal rainfall outlook for August-September, which will determine the final seasonal deficit. The real test will be whether this system actually delivers widespread rain or remains confined to Odisha, as many such systems do.
Sources (2): livemint.com, indiatoday.in
This story was synthesised by AI from the 2 sources linked above.
Updated: this story now draws on 2 sources.