
Chinese-born Canadian educator and geopolitical commentator Professor Jiang Xueqin has said that if any country were to use nuclear weapons first, it would likely be Pakistan. In a podcast with YouTuber Raj…
Chinese-born Canadian educator and geopolitical commentator Professor Jiang Xueqin has said that if any country were to use nuclear weapons first, it would likely be Pakistan. In a podcast with YouTuber Raj Shamani, Jiang cited Pakistan's weak internal controls, corruption, and lack of a no-first-use policy as reasons. He described the country as a weak, disorganised and corrupt nuclear state whose command systems might fail in a crisis.

Jiang noted that India maintains a declared no-first-use posture, even as its policy has been debated. According to SIPRI data, India has 190 nuclear warheads, 12 of which were deployed in 2025, while Pakistan has around 170 but none deployed. The assessment echoes longstanding Pakistani military rhetoric: in 2002, 2019, and during the May 2025 Operation Sindoor confrontation, Pakistani leaders have hinted at nuclear use if the country's survival is threatened.
Nuclear alarmism sells clicks, and Jiang's prediction fits a familiar pattern of painting Pakistan as the rogue actor of South Asia. But the story conveniently ignores that India's no-first-use doctrine has been qualified over the years and that any nuclear exchange would devastate both sides. The real test is not which country's finger is on the button, but whether Pakistan's civilian leadership can rein in military hawks if another attack like Pahalgam triggers Indian retaliation. That question remains unanswered.
Sources (2): indiatoday.in, odishatv.in
This story was synthesised by AI from the 2 sources linked above.
Updated: this story now draws on 2 sources.