Gold outlook split as profit-booking vies with Fed bets

Gold on track for weekly loss as investors book profits after inflation-fuelled rally

Gold prices moved in conflicting directions on Friday, with two leading Indian business dailies giving contrasting accounts of the metal’s weekly trajectory. The Hindu Business Line reports that spot gold fell 0.5…

The Story in Brief

Gold prices moved in conflicting directions on Friday, with two leading Indian business dailies giving contrasting accounts of the metal’s weekly trajectory. The Hindu Business Line reports that spot gold fell 0.5 per cent to $4,326.75 an ounce and is set for a weekly loss, as investors booked profits after mild US inflation data pushed bullion to its highest since June 5. Livemint, however, says spot gold climbed 1 per cent to $4,397, heading for a second straight weekly gain with a 9 per cent monthly rise in August, supported by a weaker dollar and easing Fed rate hike bets. Both note that traders now price only a 35 per cent chance of a September rate hike, down from 55 per cent last week, but they disagree on the immediate impact.

Gold outlook split as profit-booking vies with Fed bets

The Indian Opinion

The divergence between the two reports reflects how narratives around gold can shift between short-term profit-taking and sustained macro support. Neither extreme is fully reliable: the profit-taking narrative underestimates the effect of a peak dollar and potential Fed pause, while the rally narrative plays down the risk of a hawkish surprise if inflation reaccelerates. The real test will be the next US jobs and inflation data in September, which will either validate the dovish bets or force a recalibration.


Sources (2): thehindubusinessline.com, livemint.com

This story was synthesised by AI from the 2 sources linked above.

Updated: this story now draws on 2 sources.

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