
The US Treasury sold $42 billion in 10-year notes at a yield of 4.683% on Wednesday, the highest since the 2007-08 global financial crisis. The auction drew decent demand, with the yield…
The US Treasury sold $42 billion in 10-year notes at a yield of 4.683% on Wednesday, the highest since the 2007-08 global financial crisis. The auction drew decent demand, with the yield just above the market rate before the deadline, indicating only slightly weaker-than-expected appetite, according to Bloomberg.
The sale sets the stage for a 30-year bond auction on Thursday likely at the highest financing rate in 25 years. Inflation above the Federal Reserve's target and swelling US budget deficits have pushed long-dated yields higher. A separate consumer price index reading for July showed core inflation at 2.5% annually, matching the slowest pace since March 2021, and traders trimmed bets on a September rate hike to about 40%.
US bond markets are screaming that deficits and inflation are not going away, yet many Indian commentators keep framing this as a momentary blip. The 10-year yield at 4.68% is not a spike; it is a structural reset driven by trillion-dollar fiscal gaps. For Indian investors holding dollar debt or tracking the rupee, the real test is Thursday's 30-year auction. If demand falters there, the narrative of 'transitory' US rates will be dead. Will policymakers in New Delhi and Mumbai adjust their own borrowing plans accordingly?
Source: livemint.com
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