Monsoon deficit shrinks to 12%, rains to intensify further

Monsoon in no mood to stop in August

India's monsoon rainfall deficit has narrowed to 12% below normal as of August 12, with the IMD forecasting intensified rains across east, central and north India over the next week. A depression…

The Story in Brief

India's monsoon rainfall deficit has narrowed to 12% below normal as of August 12, with the IMD forecasting intensified rains across east, central and north India over the next week. A depression over Jharkhand is expected to bring isolated very heavy rainfall in Odisha, Jharkhand, East Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh, while the Western Himalayan region will also see heavy rain, Livemint reports. Earlier on July 31, the deficit stood at 14%, according to The Hans India. East and Northeast India still face a 26% deficit, the highest among regions.

Monsoon to strengthen in early August; deficit narrows to 14%

The revival was earlier driven by a deep depression over Maharashtra, which drew moisture from both the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal, amplified by the Somali Jet. The IMD has warned of low to moderate flash-flood risk across several districts in northern, central and eastern India over the next 24 hours, particularly in saturated low-lying areas.

The Indian Opinion

Narratives proclaiming a 'failed monsoon' seem premature. The deficit has narrowed from 14% to 12%, and heavy rain is forecast for many regions. However, East and Northeast India remain 26% below normal, a genuine concern for kharif crops. The real test will be whether these areas catch up in the next two weeks. Watch the August rainfall data from the IMD, it will determine if the recovery holds across all regions, not just the monsoon core.


Sources (2): thehansindia.com, livemint.com

This story was synthesised by AI from the 2 sources linked above.

Updated: this story now draws on 2 sources.

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