
S&P Global Ratings has said households in India and other Asia-Pacific economies remain highly vulnerable to weather-related supply shocks from the El Nino period starting in 2026. The climate phenomenon is expected…
S&P Global Ratings has said households in India and other Asia-Pacific economies remain highly vulnerable to weather-related supply shocks from the El Nino period starting in 2026. The climate phenomenon is expected to reduce rainfall, disrupt agriculture, push up food inflation, and lower hydropower generation across the region.
In India, strong food and grain buffers as of July 2026 are seen as key to managing food shocks. Authorities are also enforcing district-level coordination with farmers to minimise crop losses. The Reserve Bank of India last week flagged risks from a deficient monsoon, though it said proactive supply management and adequate stocks could provide buffers.
Panic about runaway food inflation ignores India's improved grain buffers and district-level crop planning. S&P itself notes that proactive policies and declining agricultural dependence limit the damage. The real test is not the El Nino forecast but actual rainfall data for August-October and how quickly the government releases buffer stocks if prices spike.
Source: thehindubusinessline.com
This story was synthesised by AI from the source linked above.