
The monsoon is set to enter another active phase with a fresh low-pressure area forming over land on Friday and a second system developing over the Bay of Bengal by Saturday, according…
The monsoon is set to enter another active phase with a fresh low-pressure area forming over land on Friday and a second system developing over the Bay of Bengal by Saturday, according to the India Meteorological Department. Global climate models attribute the revival to an emerging positive Indian Ocean Dipole interacting with a rapidly strengthening El Niño over the Pacific. The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts projects above-normal rainfall for Sri Lanka, Kerala, and Tamil Nadu during October-December, while the twin low-pressure systems are expected to pull moisture inland and trigger widespread rainfall across eastern, central, and northwestern India over the coming days. Rainfall alerts are in force for several states.
With two weather systems forming and a positive Indian Ocean Dipole emerging, the narrative of a failing monsoon looks premature. Some commentators have rushed to blame El Niño for poor rainfall, but the IMD's forecasts show rain is likely across many regions over the next week. The real test will be the north-east monsoon over Tamil Nadu and Kerala, where the European model is projecting excess rain. Will the return of rains silence the drought alarmists or are we still headed for a deficit year despite this fresh burst? That question will be answered by the actual rainfall figures over September.
Source: thehindubusinessline.com
This story was synthesised by AI from the source linked above.